Fantasy FootballDraft Strategy
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Fantasy FootballDraft Strategy
Fantasy Football ADP Review & Risers and Fallers: 2025 Draft Strategy
10 months agoUS
As the 2025 fantasy football draft season heats up, understanding Average Draft Position (ADP) is crucial for identifying value picks and avoiding overvalued players. This analysis reviews quarterback ADP, highlighting best and worst values, and examines notable risers and fallers across various positions based on recent observations and expert analysis.
Key Insights
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QB ADP Review:: Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen are being drafted in Round 2, considered early for quarterbacks. Trevor Lawrence is identified as a potential steal at his ADP.
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Best Value (QB):: Trevor Lawrence is poised for a career-best season with a new offensive scheme and improved receiving options.
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Worst Value (QB):: Lamar Jackson is considered overvalued in Round 2, given the depth at the quarterback position and the opportunity to draft high-end running backs or wide receivers instead.
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August Risers:: Cooper Kupp (WR), Damien Martinez (RB), Dontayvion Wicks (WR), Elijah Arroyo (TE), Emeka Egbuka (WR), Evan Engram (TE), Harold Fannin Jr. (TE), Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB), Jalen Coker (WR), Jaydon Blue (RB), Keenan Allen (WR), Nick Chubb (RB), Ollie Gordon II (RB), Ricky Pearsall (WR), Troy Franklin (WR), Tank Bigsby (RB), Zach Charbonnet (RB).
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August Fallers:: Chris Godwin (WR), Jauan Jennings (WR), Joe Mixon (RB), Ken Walker III (RB), Romeo Doubs (WR).
In-Depth Analysis
Quarterback ADP Analysis
According to CBS Sports' ADP data, quarterbacks like Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen are being selected in the second round of PPR drafts. While these players possess immense talent, drafting them this early might not be the most strategic move. Value can be found later in the draft with players like Trevor Lawrence, who is expected to thrive in Liam Coen's new offense with the addition of Travis Hunter and Brian Thomas Jr.
Patrick Mahomes' ADP has dropped slightly, but he is still considered a risky pick given Rashee Rice's potential suspension. Quarterbacks such as Baker Mayfield, Bo Nix, and Kyler Murray, drafted later, offer better value.
Risers and Fallers: August Observations
Matt Waldman from Footballguys highlights several players experiencing shifts in value based on training camp and preseason performance:
Risers:
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Cooper Kupp (WR): His value is rising due to his fit in Seattle's offense and positive signs from the offensive line.
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Damien Martinez (RB): With Kenny McIntosh's injury, Martinez has an easier path to the No. 3 role in Seattle.
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Emeka Egbuka (WR): With Godwin’s injury, Egbuka could emerge as one of the top receiving options in the Buccaneers' passing game.
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Nick Chubb (RB): Joe Mixon's injury potentially elevates Chubb’s role in the Texans' offense.
Fallers:
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Chris Godwin (WR): Concerns about his health and readiness for the season have lowered his stock.
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Joe Mixon (RB): Injury concerns and the addition of Nick Chubb raise doubts about his workload.
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Ken Walker III (RB): The Seahawks seem inclined to use a committee approach, diminishing Walker's potential workload.
Strategic Implications
These ADP trends and player evaluations suggest a shift in draft strategy. Rather than reaching for a quarterback early, fantasy managers should consider loading up on running backs and wide receivers in the early rounds and targeting value quarterbacks later. Monitoring risers and fallers throughout August is crucial for making informed decisions and maximizing draft value.
FAQs
Is it wise to draft a quarterback in the second round?
It depends on your draft strategy, but with the depth at the quarterback position, it might be more beneficial to draft a running back or wide receiver with higher potential.
Who is the best value quarterback to target in drafts?
Trevor Lawrence presents significant upside given his ADP, new offensive scheme, and improved receiving options.
Why are some players considered risers or fallers?
Risers and fallers are players whose draft stock is changing based on training camp performance, injury updates, and expert analysis.
Key Takeaways
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Prioritize Value: Focus on drafting players whose potential exceeds their ADP.
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Monitor Risers and Fallers: Stay updated on player evaluations to identify emerging opportunities and potential pitfalls.
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Adapt Your Strategy: Be flexible during your draft and adjust your plan based on how the draft unfolds.
Discussion
Do you think these ADP trends will hold? Which players are you targeting or avoiding in your drafts? Share this article with others who need to stay ahead of this trend!
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