The trend of disappearing mortgages is driven by several factors. Tighter lending standards post-Great Recession, coupled with reduced construction, have constrained supply and driven up prices. The rise in interest rates following the pandemic further exacerbated the issue, locking in homeowners with low rates and reducing active listings. Consequently, the income required to qualify for a median-priced home has increased dramatically, pricing millions of renters out of the market. The rise of cash buyers, including real-estate investment trusts, has also contributed to the formation of "mortgage deserts" in certain areas. Despite relatively low unemployment and wage increases, homeownership rates have stagnated, indicating a fundamental shift in the accessibility of mortgages for many Americans.
As of March 4, 2026, the average mortgage interest rate on a 30-year term is 5.87%, while the 15-year term stands at 5.37%. Refinance rates are slightly higher, with the 30-year term averaging 6.40% and the 15-year term at 5.58%. These rates may fluctuate based on upcoming economic reports and Federal Reserve meetings.