2025 PGA Championship: Predictions, Odds, and Expert Picks

Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are co-favorites: at 5-1 according to early odds.

SportsLine's model predicts Collin Morikawa will struggle: , barely cracking the top 10 due to course length and putting difficulties. Why this matters: Morikawa's historical success doesn't guarantee performance on a course that may not suit his current form.

Justin Thomas is a longshot pick at 20-1: , favored due to his success at Quail Hollow in 2017 and strong putting stats. Why this matters: Thomas's familiarity with the course and recent form make him a compelling option for bettors.

Ludvig Aberg (18-1) is a promising pick: due to his strong total driving stats and proximity to the hole from long distances. Why this matters: Aberg's performance at the Masters and his ability to handle long courses position him as a contender.

Jason Day (80-1) offers high value: , with wins at both Quail Hollow and Torrey Pines, plus a top-10 finish at the Masters. Why this matters: Day's history at similar courses and recent form suggest he could surprise many.

Collin Morikawa:: Despite being a two-time major winner, the model at SportsLine predicts Morikawa will struggle. Quail Hollow's 7,500+ yard layout could challenge Morikawa, who ranks 163rd in driving distance. His short game is also a concern, ranking 128th in total putting.

Justin Thomas:: A strong contender at 20-1, Thomas won the PGA Championship in 2017 at Quail Hollow. His current form is promising, with a recent win at the RBC Heritage and top rankings in putting average, putts per round, and one-putt percentage.

Ludvig Aberg:: Ranked 34th on Tour in Total Driving this season, Aberg is also No. 1 in Hole Proximity from 200 yards out or more. His strong performance at the Masters further solidifies his potential.

Jason Day:: With wins at Quail Hollow and Torrey Pines, Day's history on similar courses makes him a compelling pick at 80-1. His top-10 finish at the Masters adds to his appeal.

Xander Schauffele:: The defending champion also has a strong track record at Quail Hollow, finishing runner-up in the Wells Fargo Championship for the past two seasons. His familiarity with Torrey Pines and strong Total Driving stats make him a contender.

A:: Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are the co-favorites with odds of 5-1.

A:: He won the PGA Championship at Quail Hollow in 2017 and has strong putting stats.

A:: Its length (over 7,500 yards) and the need for both length and accuracy off the tee.

Consider course history:: Quail Hollow's characteristics favor players who excel in Total Driving and perform well on long, demanding courses.

Look beyond the favorites:: While McIlroy and Scheffler are popular picks, longshots like Justin Thomas and Jason Day could offer better value.

Pay attention to recent form:: Players like Aberg and Schauffele have shown strong recent performances, making them viable contenders.

Understand key stats:: Total Driving, putting average, and proximity to the hole from long distances are crucial stats to consider when making your picks.