Twig and Ben Pauling: Grand National Underdog or Sleeper Pick?
Twig, trained by Ben Pauling, might not be the most talked-about horse heading into the 2025 Grand National at Aintree, but this contender p...
Expert Backing:: Both Richard Birch and Greg Wood strongly fancy Iroko's chances.
Handicap Advantage:: Birch believes Iroko's current mark of 152 is potentially very lenient, suggesting he could be 'at least 8lb below his ceiling'.
Ideal Profile:: Wood notes Iroko fits the profile of a modern National winner – possessing class, potential for improvement over the longer trip, and a relatively light weight (10st 11lb).
Proven Form:: A Cheltenham Festival winner over hurdles, Iroko ran well in Grade 1 company at Aintree previously and had a strong prep run behind high-class performers like Inothewayurthinkin and Grey Dawning.
Targeted Campaign:: The Grand National has reportedly been Iroko's main target throughout the season.
Why this matters? Expert consensus on a potentially well-handicapped horse with a strong form profile makes Iroko a significant point of interest for anyone following or betting on the Grand National.
Winning the modern Grand National requires a unique blend of proven class, stamina, and often, a favourable handicap mark. While the Aintree fences may be modified from their most formidable days, the race remains a supreme test over a long distance with a large field.
Iroko, trained by Oliver Greenall and Josh Guerriero, appears to meet these criteria according to racing analysts. His victory at the Cheltenham Festival demonstrated his quality. Furthermore, his performances against top-tier horses like Inothewayurthinkin (subsequent Cheltenham Gold Cup winner) and Grey Dawning suggest he belongs in high-calibre company. Richard Birch's assertion about his handicap mark implies he could be significantly better than his rating suggests, a key factor in major handicaps like the National.
Greg Wood reinforces this, highlighting that Iroko has the potential for improvement required for the demanding Aintree test, coupled with a manageable racing weight. While acknowledging the inherent unpredictability of the race, which features both experienced stayers like last year's winner I Am Maximus and younger contenders, Wood identifies Iroko as scoring highly on both proven form and potential. His relatively light chase experience (seven starts) is seen less as a negative and more as indicating scope for significant progression.
Why is Iroko considered a strong contender for the Grand National?
He possesses a combination of proven class (Cheltenham Festival win, strong runs against top horses), potential for improvement over the trip, a favourable racing weight, and expert belief that he is well-handicapped.
Who has tipped Iroko?
Prominent racing analysts Richard Birch of the Racing Post and Greg Wood of The Guardian have both selected Iroko as their primary choice for the race.
What makes the Grand National unique?
It's a highly challenging steeplechase run over a long distance (over 4 miles) with iconic fences and a large field (34 runners), making it famously unpredictable and prestigious.
Iroko represents a blend of proven ability and significant potential, identified by experts as potentially 'ahead of the handicapper'.
His form against high-quality horses suggests he has the class required for a Grand National.
Consider the analyses of Birch and Wood when evaluating Iroko's chances in the context of the famously unpredictable race.
Pay attention to his performance leading up to and during the race, as he aims to fulfil his targeted campaign.
With strong backing from respected analysts, Iroko carries significant expectation into the Grand National. Do you think Iroko has what it takes to win the big race at Aintree? Let us know!
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