Giants Consider Trading Logan Webb Amidst Team Struggles
The San Francisco Giants are facing a challenging season, leading to discussions about the future of their star pitcher, Logan Webb. With th...
Tatis Jr. has an elite hard-hit rate (59.0%), ranking fourth in MLB, even higher than Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani.
Despite the hard contact, Tatis Jr. has zero home runs through the first 36 games, a career-long homerless streak.
His OPS+ is just 71, significantly below the league average of 100, leading to him being dropped in the Padres' batting order.
Key factors contributing to the lack of home runs include a higher ground ball rate (52%), increased strikeout rate (25%), and a tendency to hit the ball to the opposite field.
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s power outage is a puzzling development given his demonstrated ability to hit the ball with extreme force. Several factors contribute to this anomaly:
Directional Contact: Tatis Jr. is using the whole field more than ever, pulling the ball only 20.8% of the time, significantly below his career average. This approach results in more singles but fewer home runs.
Launch Angle and Fly Balls: He is hitting the ball on the ground at a career-high rate of 52.1%, while his fly ball rate has dropped to 16.7%, well below the league average. This combination of directional contact and launch angle issues significantly reduces his chances of hitting home runs.
Stance and Timing: Tatis Jr.'s stance has become more closed off, and his attack angle has decreased, leading to difficulties against fastballs. He's getting overwhelmed by four-seamers, resulting in a lower batting average and slugging percentage against this pitch.
Plate Approach: Tatis Jr.'s intercept point is much closer to the plate than normal, which explains the change in contact direction. His sprint speed is right in line with the past couple of years. He’s not broken. He’s just been the worst parts of his previous selves in 2026.
Despite these issues, the fact that Tatis Jr. is still hitting the ball hard suggests that he has the potential to turn things around. Adjustments to his stance, timing, and approach at the plate could lead to a resurgence in his power numbers.
Q: Why is Tatis Jr. not hitting home runs despite hitting the ball hard?
Changes in his stance, timing, directional contact, and launch angle are contributing to his lack of power.
Q: Is this power outage a cause for concern?
While concerning, his elite hard-hit rate suggests that he can make adjustments to regain his power.
Q: What adjustments can Tatis Jr. make to improve his home run numbers?
Opening his stance, improving his timing against fastballs, and focusing on pulling the ball in the air could help.
For readers, the key takeaways are:
Fernando Tatis Jr. is experiencing a power outage in 2026 despite his elite hard-hit rate.
This is due to a combination of factors, including directional contact, launch angle, stance, and timing issues.
While concerning, his underlying skills suggest that he can make adjustments to regain his power.
Keep an eye on his plate approach and batted ball profile for signs of improvement.
Do you think Tatis Jr. will regain his power stroke? What adjustments do you think he needs to make? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
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