NOAA Forecasts Below-Average Atlantic Hurricane Season for 2026

The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30, is expected to be less active than average due to the influence of El Niño. El Niño typically leads to increased wind shear in the Atlantic, which can inhibit the formation and intensification of hurricanes.

While a below-average season is predicted, NOAA emphasizes that it only takes one major hurricane to cause significant damage. Coastal residents are urged to remain prepared and vigilant throughout the season. The forecast for the Pacific basin, however, indicates a higher likelihood of above-normal hurricane activity. The names for the 2026 Atlantic storms have already been assigned, starting with Arthur.

Last year, 2025, was the first in a decade without a hurricane striking the U.S., despite 13 named storms. Hurricane Erin was the first Category 5 storm of that season.

NOAA predicts a below-average season with 8 to 14 named storms.

El Niño typically suppresses hurricane activity in the Atlantic while increasing it in the Pacific.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.

Do you think this forecast will hold true? What are your plans for preparing for hurricane season? Share this article with others who need to stay ahead of this trend!