New York City Mayor and New Jersey Governor 2025

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election

The New Jersey poll indicates a highly competitive race between Mikie Sherrill and Jack Ciattarelli. The gender gap is a defining factor, with men breaking for Ciattarelli by 16 points and women supporting Sherrill by 18 points. Governor Phil Murphy’s approval rating remains underwater, with 34% approving and 50% disapproving. Voters who approve of Murphy overwhelmingly support Sherrill, while those who disapprove favor Ciattarelli. The economy is the dominant issue, influencing voter choices significantly.

New York City Mayoral Election

In New York City, Zohran Mamdani holds a commanding lead over Andrew Cuomo. Mamdani’s support has increased since last month, particularly among Black voters and young voters. Those who have already voted show even stronger support for Mamdani. While threats to democracy and the economy are top concerns, Mamdani’s ability to build a broad coalition has solidified his position.

Methodology

The New Jersey survey involved 1,000 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Data was collected via MMS-to-web text, landlines via interactive voice response, and a probability panel. The New York City survey included 640 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points, using MMS-to-web text and a probability panel.

What is the margin of error for the New Jersey poll?

The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

What is the key issue for New Jersey voters?

The economy is the top issue, according to 52% of voters.

How has Mamdani’s support changed since last month?

Mamdani’s support increased by seven percentage points, from 43% to 50%.

Do you think these poll results will hold true on Election Day? Share your thoughts in the comments below!

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