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PoliticsNew York City
NYC Mayoral Race Poll: Cuomo Holds Strong Lead Over Adams, Mamdani Gains Ground
about 1 year agoUS
A recent poll reveals former Governor Andrew Cuomo maintains a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for the 2025 New York City mayoral race, significantly ahead of incumbent Mayor Eric Adams. This comes weeks after Cuomo officially entered the race, despite past controversies.
Key Insights
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Cuomo Leads Pack:: Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo tops the poll with 41% of first-round Democratic primary votes.
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Mamdani Second:: Democratic socialist Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani holds the second position with 18% support.
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Adams Struggles:: Incumbent Mayor Eric Adams ranks fourth with only 6%, and 80% of Democratic voters state they would not support him.
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Ranked-Choice Outcome:: Under ranked-choice voting simulation, Cuomo wins in the eighth round with 66%, defeating Mamdani (34%).
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Why this matters:: The poll highlights significant dissatisfaction with the current mayor and suggests a potential comeback for Cuomo, despite scandals that led to his resignation as governor. It also points to growing momentum for progressive candidate Mamdani.
In-Depth Analysis
The political landscape for the 2025 NYC Mayoral race continues to evolve, with recent polling data painting a challenging picture for incumbent Mayor Eric Adams. A Honan Strategy Group poll, conducted March 18-20 among 909 likely Democratic primary voters, places former Governor Andrew Cuomo firmly in the lead with 41% support. This marks a 3-point increase since a February poll, even before his official campaign launch.
Cuomo's resurgence comes despite the sexual harassment allegations and nursing home controversy that precipitated his 2021 resignation. Pollster Bradley Honan noted Cuomo is benefiting from Adams' decline, drawing support across various demographics, including 51% support from women surveyed.
Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani, a Democratic socialist, has emerged as a significant contender, securing 18% in the poll. His campaign highlights this result as positioning him as the primary challenger to Cuomo, emphasizing his fundraising success and relative obscurity among some voters (56% unfamiliarity).
Mayor Adams faces a steep climb, polling at just 6%. His approval rating appears low within the party, with 80% of respondents indicating they wouldn't vote for him regardless. Speculation about an independent or Republican run seems unlikely to improve his prospects, with only 10% and 7% support in those scenarios, respectively. Adams' campaign has dismissed the poll's findings, emphasizing his focus on governance over polling numbers.
Other candidates lag significantly: Comptroller Brad Lander (8%), former Comptroller Scott Stringer (4%), City Council Speaker Adrienne Adams (4%), State Senator Zellnor Myrie (2%), and State Senator Jessica Ramos (2%).
The poll, commissioned by Tusk Strategies (whose CEO supports Cuomo), utilized ranked-choice voting simulation, predicting an eighth-round victory for Cuomo.
FAQs
Who is leading the NYC Democratic Mayoral primary race?
According to a recent Honan Strategy Group poll, former Governor Andrew Cuomo leads with 41% support.
How is Mayor Eric Adams performing in the polls?
Mayor Adams is polling at 6%, ranking fourth among the Democratic candidates listed.
What did the poll indicate about ranked-choice voting?
In a simulation, Cuomo would win in the eighth round with 66% against Zohran Mamdani's 34%.
Key Takeaways
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Voter Sentiment:: There appears to be significant voter dissatisfaction with Mayor Adams among likely Democratic primary voters.
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Cuomo's Viability:: Despite past scandals, Cuomo is currently positioned as the frontrunner.
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Progressive Challenger:: Zohran Mamdani is gaining traction as a notable progressive alternative.
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Monitor the Race:: The situation is dynamic; fundraising, endorsements, and future events will continue to shape the race.
Discussion
The poll suggests a potentially dramatic primary contest ahead. Do you think Cuomo can complete a political comeback, or will another candidate emerge? Let us know!
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Sources & References
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