Colt Emerson: The Seattle Mariners' 20-Year-Old Phenom Exceeding Expectations
At just 20 years old, Seattle Mariners infielder Colt Emerson has rapidly emerged as a standout talent, making an impressive major league de...
Trea Turner has 12 home runs this season, none at home.
The last player to hit at least 12 home runs in a season without a single one coming at home was Jose Cruz for the 1984 Astros.
Statcast data suggests Turner would have 15 home runs if all his at-bats were at Citizens Bank Park.
Turner's pull percentage is actually higher at home (40.2%) than on the road (36.9%).
At home, Turner is hitting the ball on the outer part of the plate really well, while on the road, he thrives hitting balls on the inner part of the plate.
Trea Turner's home run disparity is a statistical oddity. Despite a higher pull percentage at home, he hasn't been able to convert those into home runs. Statcast data indicates that many of his road home runs would have also cleared the fence at Citizens Bank Park. The difference seems to lie in the location of the pitches he's hitting. At home, he's excelling on outside pitches, which are harder to pull for power. On the road, he's doing damage on pitches in the middle and inside part of the plate. Interestingly, Turner is still hitting for average at home (.296), even better than on the road (.287), but his slugging percentage is significantly lower (.365 at home vs .487 on the road). He's barreled only one ball to the pull side at CBP, which resulted in a long flyout. In contrast, he's barreled eight balls to the pull side on the road, with six going for home runs. Despite this drought, the Phillies aren't overly concerned, especially considering Turner's past success hitting home runs at CBP.
Q: Why hasn't Trea Turner hit a home run at home this season?
It's a combination of factors, including hitting more outside pitches at home and a bit of bad luck.
Q: Has anyone else had a similar home run drought?
Yes, Jose Cruz (1984) and Ken Keltner (1939) had seasons with a significant number of home runs and none at home.
Trea Turner's home run drought at home is an unusual statistical anomaly.
He's still hitting well at home, but not with the same power as on the road.
The Phillies aren't overly concerned, given his past performance at Citizens Bank Park.
Do you think Trea Turner will break his home run drought soon? Let us know! Share this article with others who need to stay ahead of this trend!
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