Belmont is favored with an 11.5-point spread.
The over/under for the game is set at 153.5 points.
Belmont swept the season series against Drake.
Drake is looking to win their fourth MVC Tournament title in a row.
Belmont is seeking their first-ever MVC Tournament title.
The SportsLine Projection Model predicts the Over will hit, projecting 157 combined points.
Tyler Lundblade is the go-to guy for Belmont, averaging 15 points per game and shooting 41% from 3.
Jalen Quinn averages 19 points per game for Drake and scored 22 points in the first-round win.
The Belmont Bruins (26-5, 16-4 MVC) face the Drake Bulldogs (13-19, 6-14 MVC) in the 2026 Missouri Valley Conference Tournament quarterfinal. Belmont is favored, but Drake hopes to pull off an upset.
Belmont has a high-functioning offense, ranking 35th in offensive efficiency. Their ball movement is excellent, with 61% of made shots coming off an assist. They also excel in shooting, ranking fifth in 2-point percentage (61.1%) and second in 3-point percentage (41.2%). Tyler Lundblade, the MVC Player of the Year, leads the team with 15 points per game and a 41% 3-point shooting rate. The Bruins also have size, with four 6-foot-9 players logging meaningful minutes.
Drake's defense has struggled, particularly with defending the three, and they don't force many turnovers. Four of their five starters are 6-foot-6 or shorter, creating mismatches. Jalen Quinn is Drake's primary scorer, averaging 19 points per game. Drake relies heavily on the 3-point shot, but they shoot only 34% from that range.
Considering these factors, the game is projected to be high-scoring, with the SportsLine model favoring the Over. However, the venue (Enterprise Center) is known for hard rims, which could impact shooting percentages.
Q: What is the spread for the Drake vs. Belmont game?
Belmont is favored by 11.5 points.
Q: What is the over/under for the game?
The over/under is set at 153.5 points.
Q: Who is Belmont’s key player?
Tyler Lundblade, averaging 15 points per game.
Q: Who is Drake’s leading scorer?
Jalen Quinn, averaging 19 points per game.
Belmont is the favorite due to their strong offense and size.
Drake needs a strong performance from Jalen Quinn and improved 3-point shooting to compete.
The game is expected to be high-scoring, but the venue could affect shooting.
Belmont’s efficient offense and Drake’s defensive struggles are key factors to watch.
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