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Troy vs. Saint Francis: Predictions, Picks & Odds for November 26, 2025
7 months agoUS
The Troy Trojans face the Saint Francis Red Flash in a consolation game at the Coconut Hoops tournament in Fort Myers, FL on November 26, 2025. Troy is heavily favored, but can Saint Francis keep it close? This article provides an overview of the game, key insights, and expert predictions.
Key Insights
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Troy is favored by -21.5 points with a moneyline of -7000. The over/under is set at 151.5 points.
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Troy's offense is led by Cooper Campbell, Thomas Dowd, and Victor Valdes, each averaging over 15 points per game.
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Saint Francis' defense ranks 340th in KenPom's defensive efficiency metric.
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Saint Francis is transitioning to NCAA Division III, expected to take full effect in 2028-29.
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Why this matters:: For bettors, understanding the offensive capabilities of Troy and the defensive weaknesses of Saint Francis is crucial for making informed wagers. The game also highlights Saint Francis' ongoing transition, impacting team dynamics and performance.
In-Depth Analysis
Troy enters the game with a 4-4 record, having lost to Toledo in their previous tournament game. The Trojans have struggled with their three-point shooting, hitting only 17.9%. Thomas Dowd has been a standout player, recording his fourth double-double of the season.
Saint Francis, under new head coach Luke McConnell, is currently 0-5. Skylar Wicks has been a key player for the Red Flash, averaging 18.6 points per game. However, their defense has been a significant weakness.
Given Troy's offensive efficiency and Saint Francis' defensive struggles, Troy is expected to dominate the game. Dimers' predictive model gives Troy a 92% chance of winning, with a predicted final score of 83-67. However, St. Francis (+22.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, according to the model.
*Actionable Takeaway:* Consider betting on the over, as Troy's offense is expected to perform well against Saint Francis' weak defense. However, Saint Francis covering the spread might be a safer bet.
FAQs
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Q: What is the spread for the Troy vs. Saint Francis game?
Troy is favored by -21.5 points.
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Q: What is the over/under for the game?
The over/under is set at 151.5 points.
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Q: What is Saint Francis' record this season?
Saint Francis is 0-5.
Key Takeaways
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Troy is heavily favored due to their strong offense and Saint Francis' weak defense.
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Saint Francis is in a transitional period, moving to NCAA Division III.
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Consider the over for points and Saint Francis to cover the spread, according to predictive models.
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Thomas Dowd from Troy is a player to watch, consistently achieving double-doubles.
Discussion
Do you think Troy will cover the spread? What impact will Saint Francis' transition to Division III have on their performance? Share your predictions and thoughts below!
Share this article with others who need to stay ahead of this trend!
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