Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Sonay Kartal has a 72% chance of winning against Sara Bejlek.
Kartal also has a 68% chance of winning the first set.
Sara Bejlek (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the game spread.
The over 20.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting.
Why this matters:: This match is a critical quarterfinal at the WTA Abu Dhabi Open. Understanding the probabilities can inform betting decisions and provide context for following the tournament.
The WTA Abu Dhabi Open is underway, and the quarterfinal match between Sonay Kartal and Sara Bejlek is generating significant interest. According to Dimers' simulations, Kartal is the favorite, but Bejlek has a decent chance of covering the spread.
Match Details:
Who:: Sonay Kartal vs. Sara Bejlek
Date:: Thursday, February 5, 2026
Time:: 5:30 AM ET
Tournament:: WTA Abu Dhabi, UAE Women's Singles 2026
Round:: Quarterfinals
Odds:
Moneyline: Kartal -278, Bejlek +220
First Set: Kartal -227, Bejlek +175
Game Spread: Kartal -4.5 (-110), Bejlek +4.5 (-122)
Total Games: Over 20.5 (-105), Under 20.5 (-118)
Best Bet: According to Dimers' best tennis bets, the top play is Sara Bejlek to win the first set (+175).
Additional Context: Sonay Kartal is trying to put her Australian Open disappointment behind her in Abu Dhabi. She will meet Cristina Bucsa, but will be hopeful of taking advantage of Bucsa’s limited time on court of late. Kartal likes to play the underdog and if she can make this a battle, she may well have the greater appetite in the clutch moments, making a punt on a mini upset worth a go.
Q: What is the prediction for the Kartal vs. Bejlek match?
Dimers' model predicts Sonay Kartal has a 72% chance of winning.
Q: What is the best bet for this match?
The best bet is Sara Bejlek to win the first set.
Sonay Kartal is favored to win, but Sara Bejlek could cover the spread.
Consider betting on Bejlek to win the first set for a potentially high payout.
Stay updated with live scores and further analysis as the tournament progresses.
Do you think Sonay Kartal will win? What are your predictions for the match? Share this article with others who need to stay ahead of this trend!
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