WNBA Betting Picks and Props: July 14, 2025

First Basket Props:: Ariel Atkins (+850) of the Chicago Sky is favored for the first possession against the Minnesota Lynx. Atkins has a high usage and field goal attempt rate, making her a relevant shot-taker. Sami Whitcomb (+650) of the Phoenix Mercury is a valuable pick against the Golden State Valkyries, especially with her high first-quarter field goal attempts.

MVP Odds:: Napheesa Collier (-400) is the frontrunner for the MVP award, leading the league in scoring and anchoring the Lynx's strong defense. Alyssa Thomas (+1000) has emerged as a strong contender, driven by recent high-scoring performances and triple-doubles.

Finals Winner Odds:: The New York Liberty (+180) remain the favorites to win the WNBA Finals, despite recent stumbles. The Minnesota Lynx (+220) are close behind, showcasing their strong offensive and defensive capabilities.

Player Props:: Kamilla Cardoso (Over 7.5 Rebounds) of the Chicago Sky is a favorable pick, given her recent high rebound numbers when playing significant minutes. Veronica Burton (Over 14.5 Points + Assists) of the Golden State Valkyries is a strong bet, facing a Mercury defense that struggles against opposing guards.

Ariel Atkins (Chicago Sky):: With Kamilla Cardoso securing opening tips, Atkins' high usage rate (26.7%) and field goal attempt rate (28.8%) in the starting five make her a strong candidate for the first basket. She's tied for the team lead in first shot attempts and averages 3.2 first-quarter shot attempts.

Sami Whitcomb (Phoenix Mercury):: Despite a tight spread in favor of the Golden State Valkyries, Whitcomb presents value due to her shot distribution. She averages 5.0 first-quarter field goal attempts, surpassing Alyssa Thomas' 4.5.

Napheesa Collier's Dominance:: Collier's consistent scoring and defensive prowess make her the clear MVP favorite. Her leadership drives the Minnesota Lynx, the league's top team.

Alyssa Thomas's Rise:: Thomas's recent performances, including a career-high 29 points and multiple triple-doubles, have significantly boosted her MVP candidacy.

New York Liberty's Challenge:: Despite being the reigning champions and leading the league in scoring, the Liberty's recent struggles raise questions about their ability to maintain their top position.

Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever:: This game will likely hinge on rebounding, with both teams strong defensively. Aliyah Boston's rebound total is expected to be lower than 8.5.

Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm:: Despite a recent loss to the Sun, the Storm are heavily favored. The Sun, however, are likely to keep the game within 18 points.

Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces:: The Valkyries' strong defense and A'ja Wilson's absence due to injury make the Valkyries a solid pick against the Aces.

Ariel Atkins and Sami Whitcomb are strong contenders for first basket props on July 14, 2025.

Napheesa Collier is the leading MVP candidate, but Alyssa Thomas is gaining ground.

The New York Liberty are still favored to win the WNBA Finals, but their recent form is concerning.

Consider Aliyah Boston's rebound under and the Connecticut Sun's spread for Friday's games.

The Golden State Valkyries are a promising pick against the Las Vegas Aces, given their defensive strength and Wilson's injury.