Headline Match: Jesper de Jong (World No. 73) faces Vilius Gaubas (World No. 128) in the Round of 32 at approximately 9:50 a.m. ET on July 13. De Jong was the runner-up at ATP Bastad in 2025 and will be defending significant ranking points.
Why This Matters: De Jong's performance on clay has been exceptional — he reached the fourth round of the French Open and won an ATP Challenger Tour event on the surface. A strong run in Bastad could propel him into the Top 50.
Top Betting Favorites: Andrey Rublev leads the odds at **+400**, followed by Luciano Darderi (+450) and Mariano Navone (+600). De Jong sits at **+2000**, while Gaubas is a long shot at **+4000**.
Qualifying Action: Five qualifying finals are scheduled, including Francesco Passaro vs. Martin Krumich and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs. Lautaro Midon, with the winners entering the main draw.
Historical Context: The Nordea Open has been a staple on the ATP Tour since 1948, played on clay at the Bastad Tennis Stadium. Past champions include Rafael Nadal, David Ferrer, and Casper Ruud.
Jesper de Jong arrives in Bastad with momentum and pressure. The Dutchman lost a dramatic three-set final at this very tournament in 2025, meaning he has 200 ranking points to defend. His clay-court credentials are strong — he made the fourth round of Roland Garros and backed it up with a Challenger title on the surface. De Jong's counterpunching style and defensive tenacity are well-suited to the slow Bastad clay.
Vilius Gaubas, the young Lithuanian, is coming off a breakthrough season. He made his first two Grand Slam main-draw appearances at the French Open and Wimbledon 2026, signaling a rapid rise. Gaubas possesses a powerful serve and aggressive baseline game, but this marks his first main-draw match at Bastad.
Prediction consensus: Both The Athletic and Last Word on Sports predict De Jong in straight sets (in 2), citing his experience on these courts and superior clay résumé. However, Gaubas has the game to push for an upset if De Jong feels the pressure of defending points.
| Match | Time (ET) | Prediction |
|-------|-----------|-----------|
| Francesco Passaro vs. Martin Krumich | 5:05 a.m. | Passaro favorite |
| Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs. Lautaro Midon | 5:05 a.m. | Midon in 3 |
| Carlos Sanchez Jover vs. Taro Daniel | 7:35 a.m. | Daniel in 3 |
| Thomas Faurel vs. Miguel Damas | 7:35 a.m. | Competitive match |
Taro Daniel, a former Top 60 player, looks to return to an ATP main draw for the first time since September 2025. He won a main-draw match at Bastad back in 2016 and should have enough experience to overcome Sanchez Jover.
The outright winner market is led by Andrey Rublev (+400), who is the highest-ranked player in the field. However, clay specialists like Mariano Navone (+600) and Sebastian Baez (+1400) offer value. De Jong at +2000 represents a solid mid-tier pick given his Bastad history and recent form.
How can I watch the Nordea Open Round of 32?
The tournament is available to stream via Fubo (stream now). Matches begin at 5:05 a.m. ET on July 13.
Where is the Nordea Open played?
The event takes place at Bastad Tennis Stadium in Båstad, Sweden, on clay courts.
Who are the betting favorites to win the tournament?
Andrey Rublev (+400) leads the odds, followed by Luciano Darderi (+450) and Mariano Navone (+600). Full odds are available through BetMGM.
Does Jesper de Jong have a previous record at Bastad?
Yes, de Jong was the runner-up in 2025, losing in the final. He must defend significant ranking points in this year's edition.
What surface is the Nordea Open played on?
The tournament is played on red clay, a surface that traditionally favors baseline grinders and heavy topspin players.
For Tennis Fans: Mark your calendars for July 13 — the de Jong vs. Gaubas match at 9:50 a.m. ET is must-watch clay-court tennis. Stream it via [Fubo](https://www.fubo.tv/?ref=yanuki.com).
For Bettors: De Jong at **+2000** offers strong value given his runner-up finish last year and recent French Open run. Consider him as a semifinal or final dark horse.
For Fantasy/DFS Players: Target players with strong clay records like Mariano Navone and Sebastian Baez, who historically perform well at slow-court tournaments.
Who This Affects Most: Fans of clay-court tennis, ATP 250 enthusiasts, and followers of rising talents like Vilius Gaubas will find this tournament particularly compelling.
The Nordea Open is shaping up to be a fascinating clay-court battle in Båstad. Will Jesper de Jong avenge his 2025 final loss and lift the trophy? Or will a dark horse like Vilius Gaubas or Mariano Navone steal the spotlight?
Do you think de Jong can handle the pressure of defending his runner-up points? Let us know your predictions in the comments!
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