Tennessee Weather Alert: Cold Front Bringing Snow, Severe Storms, and Temperature Plunge
Key Insights
Snowfall Potential:: Minor snow accumulations are expected, especially in areas like the Cumberland Plateau due to higher elevation. The probability of significant snowfall (greater than one-tenth of an inch) is low (less than 30%) as of March 13.
Severe Storm Risk:: An Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) of severe storms is in effect for the Action News 5 coverage area on Sunday, March 15, with potential for damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes. Storms are most likely between 4 PM and midnight.
Temperature Plunge:: Following the storms, temperatures will plummet. Daytime temperatures are expected to be in the 30s on Monday, dropping into the upper teens to low 20s by Tuesday morning. A widespread frost is expected Monday night.
Late Month Warm-Up:: Looking beyond the immediate cold snap, above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation are expected later in March, promising more pleasant spring days.
In-Depth Analysis
The approaching cold front is set to bring a complex weather scenario to Middle Tennessee. On Sunday, residents can expect warm, windy conditions with highs in the mid-to-upper 70s before the arrival of severe storms in the late afternoon and evening. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted the area for an Enhanced Risk of severe weather, emphasizing the potential for damaging winds, large hail, and even tornadoes.
Following the severe weather threat, a significant cooldown will occur. Temperatures will fall drastically overnight Sunday, leading to a cold and partly cloudy Monday with highs near 40. By Tuesday morning, lows will reach the mid-20s, increasing the risk of frost. The National Weather Service advises residents to bundle up for the cold temperatures, especially children heading to school after Spring Break.
However, the long-term forecast offers a more optimistic outlook. By March 19, temperatures are expected to rebound into the high 60s, with above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation favored for the later part of the month. This suggests a transition to more typical spring weather after the initial cold blast.
How to Prepare:
Stay Informed: Monitor local weather forecasts and alerts from the National Weather Service.
Secure Property: Before the storms, secure outdoor furniture and objects that could be blown around by strong winds.
Prepare for Power Outages: Have flashlights, batteries, and a backup power source for essential medical devices.
Protect Plants: Cover sensitive plants to protect them from frost.
Dress Warmly: Be prepared for a significant drop in temperatures and dress in layers.
FAQs
Q: What is the chance of snow accumulation in Nashville?
As of March 13, the probability of greater than one-tenth of an inch of snow is less than 30%, meaning there's a low chance of even seeing a dusting.
Q: When are the severe storms expected to hit?
The timing for storms on Sunday, March 15, will be from 4 PM to midnight.
Q: How cold will it get?
Lows are expected to drop into the teens and low 20s by Tuesday morning.
Key Takeaways
Middle Tennessee residents should brace themselves for a turbulent weather pattern. A combination of potential snow, severe storms, and a sharp temperature decline will require preparedness and caution. Stay updated with the latest forecasts and take necessary precautions to protect yourself and your property. Despite the looming cold, the long-term forecast hints at a return to pleasant spring conditions later in the month.
Discussion
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