The NHC is closely watching a low-pressure area off the southwestern coast of Mexico.
Conditions are favorable for the disturbance to strengthen into a tropical depression and potentially Tropical Storm Alvin.
While heavy rainfall and high surf are possible along the Mexican Pacific Coast, the system is not expected to impact the United States.
The Eastern Pacific hurricane season started on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Atlantic hurricane season.
Why this matters: Staying informed about potential tropical storms helps residents and travelers in affected areas prepare for possible heavy rains, flooding, and dangerous surf conditions.
The NHC designated the area as Invest 90-E, indicating heightened monitoring for potential tropical development. Showers and thunderstorms are becoming more organized around a broad area of low pressure several hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico. The system is moving west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
Forecast models suggest that if a tropical depression or storm forms, it will likely turn northwestward, potentially causing high surf and rip currents along Mexico's Pacific Coast. There is also a possibility that the system could bring locally heavy rainfall to Mexico as it parallels the coastline. However, as the storm moves further north, cooler water temperatures are expected to inhibit its ability to strengthen further. Meteorologists note that water temperatures in the 70s Fahrenheit are not conducive to sustaining a tropical storm.
While many Eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes move west-northwest and fizzle out in the open ocean, some do strike land, like Hurricane Hilary in 2023. Therefore, continued monitoring is essential for communities along the Mexican coast.
Q: When does the Eastern Pacific hurricane season start?
The Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially begins on May 15.
Q: Will Tropical Storm Alvin affect the United States?
No, this system is not expected to pose a threat to the United States.
A tropical disturbance in the Eastern Pacific is likely to become Tropical Storm Alvin.
Residents and travelers along the Mexican Pacific Coast should monitor weather updates for potential heavy rain and high surf.
The system is not expected to impact the United States.
The Eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15.
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