Thunder vs. Knicks: NBA Picks for March 4, 2026

In-Depth Analysis

The Oklahoma City Thunder (48-15) are set to clash with the New York Knicks (40-22) at Madison Square Garden. The Thunder are currently riding a three-game winning streak and aim to maintain their top position in the Western Conference. The Knicks, holding the third seed in the East, are looking to continue their strong home performance.

**Key Stats:**

**Points Differential:** Thunder +11.3, indicating their dominance.
**Home Record:** Knicks 23-8.
**3-Pointers:** Knicks average 14.8 made 3-pointers per game, shooting 37.5% from deep.
**Assists:** Thunder average 25.5 assists per game, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4).

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates the game 10,000 times and suggests betting the Over (221.5 total points). The model anticipates Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Brunson to lead their respective teams in scoring. Isaiah Joe is shooting 44.6% and averaging 11.0 points for the Thunder. Jared McCain is averaging 2.1 made 3-pointers over the last 10 games.

**Injuries:**

**Knicks:** Miles McBride is out (ankle).
**Thunder:** Jalen Williams is out (hamstring), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Ajay Mitchell are day to day.

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FAQ

What is the point spread for the Thunder vs. Knicks game?

The Thunder are favored by 4 points.

What is the over/under for the game?

The over/under is set at 221.5 points.

Are there any key injuries to consider?

Jalen Williams is out for the Thunder, while Miles McBride is out for the Knicks.

Takeaways

Consider betting the Over based on SportsLine’s model projection.
Watch for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Brunson to lead their teams in scoring.
Be aware of injury updates, particularly for the Thunder, as they could impact the game’s outcome.

Discussion

Do you think the Thunder will cover the spread? Let us know your predictions!

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Sources

Get ready for Thunder vs. Knicks at MSG Thunder vs. Knicks odds, prediction, spread, time: 2026 NBA picks for Wednesday, March 4 from proven model Thunder take on the Knicks, aim for 4th straight victory

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