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Finance / Investing

Morgan Stanley’s Top Stock Picks and Outlook on US Assets

Morgan Stanley is bullish on select U.S. assets, upgrading stocks and Treasuries while taking a bearish stance on the U.S. dollar. The firm has also spotlighted five stocks poised for growth: Chewy, Ulta Beauty, Coupang, Chart Industries an...

Morgan Stanley says buy these five stocks that are set to rally
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Morgan Stanley’s Top Stock Picks and Outlook on US Assets Image via CNBC

Key Insights

  • Morgan Stanley upgraded U.S. stocks and Treasuries to "overweight," citing diminishing tariff risks and a negligible chance of recession.
  • The firm expects U.S. assets to broadly outperform global counterparts, except for the dollar, due to a slowing global economy.
  • Top stock picks include Chewy (due to its vet clinic opportunity), Ulta Beauty (driven by improving trends in the beauty sector), and Coupang (benefiting from its competitive advantage in the Korean e-commerce market).
  • A weaker dollar is expected to benefit U.S. multinational companies by enhancing their income when converted back into U.S. currency.
  • Morgan Stanley projects the S&P 500 to reach 6,500 points by the second quarter of 2026.

In-Depth Analysis

Morgan Stanley’s analysis points to a gradually slowing global economy, with real GDP growth declining to 2.5% by year-end from 3.5% in 2024. Investor sentiment towards U.S. assets has improved following eased trade tensions. The firm anticipates earnings revisions for U.S. corporations will bottom out soon, with a weaker dollar providing additional benefits to multinational companies.

**Stock-Specific Insights:**

  • **Chart Industries:** The merger with Flowserve is expected to boost growth prospects. The stock is up nearly 18% over the past 12 months.
  • **Ulta Beauty:** Improving trends in the beauty sector suggest further upside. Shares are more than 22% higher in the last year.
  • **Coupang:** Continues to execute well and is relatively insulated from tariff risk. The stock has risen by 40% in the past three months, yet its valuation remains attractive.
  • **Chewy:** The launch of its first vet clinic presents a significant growth opportunity in the $40B market.
  • **NuBank:** Expected to quickly become a leading player in Brazil's payroll loan segment.

**Treasury Yields:**

Treasuries have also garnered a favorable outlook. Morgan Stanley projects the yield on the 10-year Treasury note to decline to 3.45% by Q2 2026, down from the current 4.481%.

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FAQ

Why is Morgan Stanley bullish on U.S. assets?

Diminishing tariff risks, a negligible chance of recession, and potential for further rate cuts.

What is Morgan Stanley’s outlook on the U.S. dollar?

Bearish, citing a convergence in U.S. rates and growth to peers.

What S&P 500 target does Morgan Stanley project?

6,500 points by the second quarter of 2026.

Takeaways

  • Consider increasing exposure to U.S. equities, particularly in sectors benefiting from easing inflation and a weak dollar.
  • Evaluate opportunities in high-quality bonds for income and stability.
  • Hedge against dollar weakness while capitalizing on the expected strength of the euro, yen, and Swiss franc.
  • Continue to diversify globally to complement domestic holdings.

Discussion

Do you think these stock picks will outperform the market? Let us know!

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Sources

Disclaimer

This article was compiled by Yanuki using publicly available data and trending information. The content may summarize or reference third-party sources that have not been independently verified. While we aim to provide timely and accurate insights, the information presented may be incomplete or outdated.

All content is provided for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or professional advice. Yanuki makes no representations or warranties regarding the reliability or completeness of the information.

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Always do your own research (DYOR) before making any decisions based on the information presented.