Renegade: The Rising Star in Pletcher's Kentucky Derby Barn?

In-Depth Analysis

Renegade's victory in the Sam F. Davis Stakes wasn't just a win; it was a statement. His closing speed and stamina suggest he's well-suited for the Kentucky Derby's mile-and-a-quarter distance.

**Speed and Stamina:** Renegade's final sixteenth of a mile in :05.97 was the fastest among Kentucky Derby prep races this season. This indicates an ability to finish strong, a crucial trait for success in Louisville. Nearly, another Pletcher trainee, has shown early speed but may lack Renegade's closing kick.

**Pedigree:** Renegade's lineage is ideal for the Derby distance. Being a son of Into Mischief out of a Curlin mare gives him an "A+" TrueNicks rating, suggesting he'll thrive as the distances increase.

**Pletcher's Strategy:** Pletcher is likely to split his top contenders, with Nearly heading to the Florida Derby and Renegade potentially targeting the Tampa Bay Derby or Wood Memorial. This allows both horses to gain points without direct competition.

**Betting Strategy:** Renegade's early odds offer significant value. As he continues to develop, his odds are likely to shorten. Securing a futures bet now could yield a substantial return.

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FAQ

What makes Renegade a strong Kentucky Derby contender?

His impressive closing speed, stamina, favorable pedigree, and the strategic training of Todd Pletcher.

How does Renegade compare to his stablemate Nearly?

While Nearly has shown early speed, Renegade has a stronger closing kick and a pedigree better suited for longer distances.

Takeaways

Renegade is a rising star in Todd Pletcher's barn and a legitimate Kentucky Derby contender.
His closing speed and stamina make him a dangerous threat in the final stages of a race.
Bettors should consider Renegade for Kentucky Derby futures, as his odds are likely to shorten as he continues to develop.

Discussion

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Sources

Kentucky Derby Betting Alert: Is Renegade the New Leader of the Pletcher Barn? “Other” Horses Decorate List Of Kentucky Derby Contenders Four new names hit Kentucky Derby list after weekend racing

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