How rare is Oneil Cruz's home run?
It is considered an exceptionally rare event, potentially never before seen in MLB history.
MLB / Highlights
Pittsburgh Pirates' Oneil Cruz achieved a rare feat against the Texas Rangers: hitting a home run off the top of the foul pole. The improbability of this event has sparked considerable discussion, with one astrophysicist even suggesting it'...
On April 22, 2026, Oneil Cruz of the Pittsburgh Pirates accomplished what many are calling a once-in-a-lifetime feat: hitting a home run that struck the top of the foul pole. Jayson Stark from The Athletic delved into the sheer improbability of this event, consulting with astrophysicist D. Meredith Wills to provide context. According to Wills, the confluence of factors required to achieve such a hit—including launch angle, trajectory, and even meteorological conditions—makes it mathematically comparable to landing on the moon or an asteroid.
The discussion highlighted just how many variables need to align perfectly for a baseball to not only travel far enough for a home run but also land with pinpoint accuracy on top of a narrow pole. This event underscores the unpredictable and often astonishing nature of baseball, turning a routine game into a moment of potential history. The uniqueness of Cruz's home run adds to the lore of baseball and provides fans with a remarkable event to remember.
It is considered an exceptionally rare event, potentially never before seen in MLB history.
Factors include precise launch angle, trajectory, meteorological conditions, and the drag on the baseball.
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