- **Q: What time will the storms hit?
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News / Weather
Western and upstate New York face a risk of severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall. The storms are expected to bring gusty winds and downpours, potentially impacting the Southern Tier, Finger Lakes region, and areas near Lake Erie.
The severe weather threat is driven by a combination of factors, including a warm front increasing dew points and a cold front approaching with stronger winds aloft. This creates an environment conducive to thunderstorm development, with potential for gusty winds and heavy downpours. The greatest threats will be gusty winds and downpours. As of right now, the timing varies greatly, but the strongest storms may develop anytime after 4 p.m. on Monday and continue on into the evening. Areas that may be impacted most are the Southern Tier tracking northeast through the Finger Lakes. Current rainfall total model estimates predict most places seeing between 0.25 and 0.50 inches of rain from now until Tuesday morning. Those in Erie County, Ontario County, and southern Wayne County could see higher totals between 1.0 to 1.20 inches of rain.
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