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NFL / Rams

Is Matthew Stafford Bad for Tight Ends?

Is Matthew Stafford detrimental to tight end performance? An analysis of the Rams' tight end usage and production under Stafford raises questions about the quarterback's impact on the position. With players like Tyler Higbee and Colby Parki...

Is Matt Stafford bad for tight ends?
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Is Matthew Stafford Bad for Tight Ends? Image via Turf Show Times

Key Insights

  • Tyler Higbee's production has declined since Stafford joined the Rams. From 2018-2020, Higbee averaged 8.5 yards per target with a 64.5% success rate; since 2021, those numbers have dropped to 6.4 yards per target and 55.5% success rate. This matters because Higbee was a reliable target before Stafford's arrival, suggesting a potential disconnect.
  • Colby Parkinson, signed by the Rams with a $9.8 million cap hit (13th among all TEs), ranks near the bottom in receiving EPA (Estimated Points Added). His yards before catch have also decreased significantly, indicating that Stafford is throwing him shorter passes than his previous quarterback. This is significant because the Rams invested heavily in Parkinson, expecting him to be a valuable receiving threat.
  • Rookie tight end Terrance Ferguson has seen minimal playing time, raising questions about the Rams' evaluation and utilization of the position. Despite being a high draft pick, Ferguson's lack of involvement suggests a potential misjudgment by the team. This highlights the challenge of integrating rookie tight ends into the Rams' offense.
  • Stafford's history with other tight ends, such as T.J. Hockenson and Eric Ebron, reveals a pattern of underutilization. While Hockenson and Ebron had moments of success, they often performed better after leaving Stafford's teams. This historical context adds weight to the argument that Stafford may not be the best fit for maximizing tight end production.

In-Depth Analysis

The Los Angeles Rams' tight end situation in 2025 presents a perplexing case. Despite investing significant resources in the position, the team's tight ends are underperforming, leading to questions about quarterback Matthew Stafford's role in their struggles.

**Tyler Higbee:** Higbee, once a reliable target, has seen a decline in his production since Stafford's arrival. His yards per target and success rate have decreased, suggesting that he is not being utilized as effectively. While Higbee's $8.7 million cap hit is not crippling, his production ranks him low among tight ends, raising concerns about his value to the team.

**Colby Parkinson:** The Rams signed Parkinson to a lucrative deal, but he has been one of the least productive tight ends in the league. His receiving EPA is abysmal, and his yards before catch have plummeted, indicating that he is not being used as a downfield threat. The Rams' decision to invest $15 million in Parkinson is looking like a major misstep.

**Terrance Ferguson:** The rookie tight end has been virtually invisible, raising questions about the Rams' evaluation and development of the position. Despite being a high draft pick, Ferguson has struggled to get on the field, suggesting that he is not ready to contribute or that the Rams are not prioritizing his development.

**Historical Context:** Stafford's history with other tight ends, such as T.J. Hockenson and Eric Ebron, adds further fuel to the debate. While both players had flashes of potential, they often performed better after leaving Stafford's teams. This historical context suggests that Stafford may not be the best fit for maximizing tight end production.

**Targets per Route:** A key indicator of tight end usage is targets per route. Typically, a team paying premium for a tight end would target that player every four routes. Higbee is targeted every seven routes, which is unusual for a highly-paid tight end. Parkinson is targeted even less often, and Ferguson barely plays at all. This data suggests that the Rams are not prioritizing the tight end position in their passing game.

**Before and After Stafford:** Comparing Higbee's and Parkinson's stats before and after Stafford's arrival reveals a clear decline in production. Higbee's yards per target and success rate have decreased, while Parkinson's yards before catch have plummeted. These statistics provide further evidence that Stafford may be limiting the tight ends' potential.

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FAQ

Is Matthew Stafford intentionally avoiding tight ends?

There's no evidence to suggest intentional avoidance, but the statistics indicate a pattern of underutilization.

Could the Rams' offensive scheme be the problem?

The offensive scheme may play a role, but the decline in individual tight end production suggests that Stafford's tendencies are a contributing factor.

Will Terrance Ferguson ever get a chance to contribute?

It remains to be seen, but his lack of playing time raises concerns about his future with the team.

Takeaways

  • Matthew Stafford's history with tight ends suggests a pattern of underutilization.
  • The Rams' tight end investments may be a waste of resources with Stafford at quarterback.
  • The Rams need to re-evaluate their tight end usage and development strategies.
  • Pay close attention to Terrance Ferguson’s development, as his success could indicate a shift in the Rams' approach.

Discussion

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