Germany's Potential New Government: CDU/CSU and SPD Outline Key Policy Directions

In-Depth Analysis

### Migration Policy Both parties agree on the need to limit migration and plan to reinstate this goal in the residency act. Controls at all German borders are set to continue until EU external border protection is deemed effective. The list of 'safe countries of origin' will likely expand to include Algeria, India, Morocco, and Tunisia. Family reunification for those with subsidiary protection status will be suspended for two years, barring hardship cases. However, the exact implementation of border pushbacks, particularly concerning asylum seekers and coordination with neighboring countries, remains unresolved.

### Social and Economic Policy Significant changes are planned for the **Bürgergeld** (Citizen's Income). The calculation method will revert to an older system where inflation adjustments occur retrospectively, potentially leading to a zero increase in 2026. Stricter, easier-to-implement sanctions and reformed rules for additional earnings are also planned. Key disagreements include the SPD's push to explicitly mandate reaching a €15 minimum wage by 2026 and solidify the pension level permanently at 48%. Funding for the increased 'Mothers' Pension' (Mütterrente) for pre-1992 births is another sticking point, with the SPD favoring tax-based financing.

### Security and Defense There's a strong consensus on enhancing Germany's role as a NATO hub and boosting the armed forces' readiness. Russia is identified as the primary threat, and China as a systemic rival, reinforcing the importance of the US alliance and nuclear sharing. Support for Ukraine and Israel is confirmed, though specifics like Taurus missile delivery remain unmentioned. A major split exists regarding **conscription (Wehrpflicht)**: the Union favors its reintroduction, while the SPD prefers a voluntary model based on registration. Both agree on significantly increasing defense spending, but the Union targets 'towards 3.5% of GDP,' whereas the SPD keeps the figure open.

### Transport Policy The parties plan a fundamental **rail reform**, focusing on separating the infrastructure arm (DB InfraGO) within the Deutsche Bahn group and restructuring management. The popular **Deutschlandticket** (nationwide public transport pass) is set to continue beyond 2025, but with users bearing a gradually increasing share of the cost from 2027. Major disagreements persist on introducing a general **speed limit (Tempolimit)** of 130 km/h on highways (SPD supports, Union opposes) and the EU's planned **2035 ban on new combustion engine cars** (Union wants it reversed, SPD supports it).

### Climate and Energy A notable shift involves reverting the **coal phase-out** target from 'ideally 2030' back to the legally established 2038 deadline, contingent on building sufficient gas power plants. Views diverge on nuclear energy's future role (Union positive, SPD opposed) and domestic gas exploration. The fate of the controversial 'Heating Law' (GEG) is also undecided, with the Union wanting it scrapped and the SPD favoring amendments.

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FAQ

Takeaways

• Expect potential changes to social benefits like Bürgergeld, possibly with slower adjustments to inflation.
• Migration policies are likely to become stricter, affecting asylum seekers and family reunification.
• Germany's defense posture will strengthen, with increased spending, though the return of conscription is uncertain.
• Transport costs might change with adjustments to the Deutschlandticket financing; the future of driving (speed limits, combustion engines) is still being negotiated.
• Climate policy might see a slower coal exit and continued debate over energy sources like nuclear power.

Discussion

Which policy agreement or disagreement do you find most significant for Germany's future? Let us know your thoughts!

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