Lightning vs. Canadiens Game 3 Predictions: 2026 NHL Playoffs

In-Depth Analysis

The Lightning Canadiens series has been marked by physicality and tight checking. In Game 2, the Lightning dominated overtime, outshooting the Canadiens 9-0. Goaltending will be a crucial factor, with Andrei Vasilevskiy for the Lightning and Jakub Dobes for the Canadiens expected to play key roles. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates the game 10,000 times, providing detailed player projections. For Game 3, the model projects Cole Caufield to record .56 goals and .45 assists for Montreal, while Nikita Kucherov is projected to score 0.51 goals and 1.03 assists for Tampa Bay.

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FAQ

Who scored the game-winning goal in Game 2?

J.J. Moser scored the game-winning goal in overtime for the Tampa Bay Lightning.

What is a Gordie Howe hat trick?

A Gordie Howe hat trick is when a player gets a goal, an assist, and a fight in the same game.

What does the SportsLine model predict?

The SportsLine model projects the Lightning to win Game 3 and for the total goals to be over 6.

Takeaways

The series is evenly matched, with each team winning one game.
Expect a physical Game 3 in Montreal.
Key players to watch are Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel for Tampa Bay, and Cole Caufield for Montreal.
The SportsLine model favors the Lightning and suggests betting the Over on total goals.

Discussion

Do you think the Lightning will win Game 3? Share your predictions in the comments! Share this article with others who need to stay ahead of this trend!

Sources

LSU vs. Mississippi State (Apr 24, 2026) Box Score Lightning vs. Canadiens odds, prediction, time: 2026 NHL playoff picks, Game 3 best bets from proven model The Backcheck: Moser plays OT hero as Bolts even First Round series in Game 2

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