Is Aaron Nola's velocity significantly down?
His velocity is slightly down, but within his typical range for April.
Sports / MLB
Philadelphia Phillies fans are no doubt concerned about ace pitcher Aaron Nola's rocky start to the 2025 season. After signing a lucrative contract, his early performances have raised questions about his velocity and overall effectiveness....
Aaron Nola's first few starts of 2025 have been far from ideal. His ERA sits at 6.65 after four starts, a significant departure from his career average. While initial reactions might focus on decreased velocity, a closer look reveals a more nuanced picture.
| Pitch | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |-------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------| | Four-seam fastball | 91.2 | 91.1 | 91.7 | 92.2 | 92.3 | | Sinker | 90.1 | 90.6 | 90.8 | 91.6 | 91.2 | | Cutter | 85.8 | 87.0 | 85.8 | 86.5 | 87.0 | | Changeup | 84.3 | 85.1 | 85.2 | 85.3 | 84.3 | | Curveball | 77.8 | 78.7 | 78.4 | 78.1 | 78.1 |
The data shows that his velocity is within his typical range for the early part of the season. However, other metrics are more concerning. His average exit velocity is up nearly 2 mph from 2024, and his walk rate has increased from 6.1% to 9.0%. This suggests that even if his velocity is not significantly down, his command and pitch location are suffering.
Nola himself has acknowledged his struggles, particularly with walks and pitching out of the stretch. He's expressed determination to clean things up and get back on track. Manager Rob Thomson remains confident in Nola's ability to rebound, citing his track record and work ethic.
**How to Prepare:** - Be patient: Nola has a history of improving as the season progresses. - Monitor his velocity and command in upcoming starts. - Watch for adjustments in his approach and pitch selection.
**Who This Affects Most:** - Phillies fans: Nola's performance directly impacts the team's competitiveness. - The Phillies' pitching staff: His success sets the tone for the entire rotation. - Nola himself: His confidence and future earnings depend on his ability to perform at a high level.
His velocity is slightly down, but within his typical range for April.
Elevated exit velocity, walk rate, and barrel rate suggest command issues.
Yes, he had similar stretches in 2019 and 2023, and rebounded strongly.
His next start is against the Mets at Citi Field.
Do you think Aaron Nola will turn things around this season? Let us know in the comments below!
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