Why are baseballs not traveling as far in 2025?
Data suggests increased drag on the baseballs, possibly due to higher seams or manufacturing variations.
Sports / MLB
Major League Baseball faces scrutiny as data reveals increased drag on baseballs, leading to shorter hit distances and raising concerns about a potential "dead ball" era in 2025. Players and analysts are seeking answers as home runs become...
Recent reports and player observations suggest that MLB baseballs are not traveling as far in 2025 as in previous seasons. This has sparked debate about whether MLB is entering a new "dead ball" era, reminiscent of the early 20th century when scoring was low due to the ball’s characteristics.
**The Data:**
Data from The Athletic shows a significant increase in drag on the baseball in 2025 compared to the past nine seasons. This increased drag causes equally hard-hit fly balls to travel about four feet less on average.
Professor Alan Nathan, an expert on baseball aerodynamics, supports these findings, noting that after adjusting for air density, the ball traveled approximately 3.2 feet farther in 2024.
**Player Perspectives:**
Players have also noticed the difference. A’s slugger Brent Rooker mentioned hitting balls that he thought would be home runs, only to have them caught at the wall. Andrew McCutchen of the Pirates shared that an MLB rep told him the balls have "higher seams" this year, causing more drag.
**MLB’s Response:**
MLB acknowledges the change in ball performance but denies any intentional alterations. According to MLB spokesperson Glen Caplin, there have been no changes to the manufacturing, storage, or handling of baseballs, and all baseballs remain within specifications. MLB suggests that variations in hand-stitched baseballs could be a factor.
**Potential Impact:**
While MLB claims that overall gameplay remains consistent with 2024, the reduced home run percentage of fly balls indicates a potential shift in offensive dynamics. This could influence team strategies and player valuations.
**Historical Context:**
The original dead-ball era (1900-1920) was characterized by low scoring and few home runs. Factors included the ball’s construction and field dimensions. The current situation raises questions about whether MLB is inadvertently recreating similar conditions.
**Actionable Takeaways:**
Data suggests increased drag on the baseballs, possibly due to higher seams or manufacturing variations.
MLB denies making intentional changes, citing natural variations in hand-stitched baseballs.
Players like Andrew McCutchen have reported inside information about "higher seams" causing increased drag.
While some stats remain similar to 2024, the home run percentage of fly balls is at an eight-year low.
What are your thoughts on the MLB baseball changes? Do you think this trend will last? Let us know!
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