Sonny Gray's Spring Struggles: Velocity Dip Sparks Wainwright Comparison

In-Depth Analysis

Sonny Gray's 2025 spring training campaign was far from ideal for the St. Louis Cardinals' key acquisition. Signed to anchor the rotation, the 35-year-old veteran experienced statistically his worst preseason, culminating in a 12.56 ERA. The primary concern revolves around his diminished fastball velocity, which consistently registered lower than his career norms.

Gray himself addressed the issue after a tough outing against the Houston Astros where he allowed five earned runs. While reiterating that he feels healthy, he speculated that a slightly delayed start to his throwing regimen, necessitated by a postseason injection, might be a contributing factor. He remains confident, stating, "I still think that will come... I will definitely figure it out. There’s no doubt in my mind."

Interestingly, Gray demonstrated adaptability during his final spring start. After struggling early, he shifted his strategy, relying less on challenging hitters with diminished velocity and more on utilizing his off-speed pitches (sweeper, changeup, curveball) and manipulating pitch shapes. This adjustment yielded better results in the later innings of that game.

Cardinals' President of Baseball Operations, John Mozeliak, publicly backed his pitcher, drawing parallels to Adam Wainwright's career. Wainwright, a Cardinals icon, successfully navigated the later stages of his career by evolving as a pitcher when his fastball velocity naturally declined. Mozeliak's comparison serves as both a vote of confidence and a potential roadmap for Gray. It's worth noting Wainwright also experienced a down year at age 35 (2016), posting a 4.62 ERA.

The Cardinals hope Gray's spring was merely a blip or requires adjustments he's already exploring. With Gray under contract through 2026 and set to take the mound on Opening Day, his ability to perform effectively, whether through regained velocity or strategic adaptation, will be closely monitored.

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FAQ

Takeaways

• Veteran pitchers sometimes experience velocity dips; the key is adaptation.
• Gray's performance in the early regular season will indicate if the spring struggles were temporary or require significant adjustments.
• The Cardinals are relying on Gray's experience and ability to adjust, much like Wainwright did.
• Monitor Gray's pitch mix and velocity in his upcoming starts to see how he's adapting.

Discussion

What are your expectations for Sonny Gray this season? Can he successfully adapt his pitching style if the velocity doesn't fully return? Let us know your thoughts in the comments!

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