WNBA Betting Picks and Props: July 14, 2025

In-Depth Analysis

### First Basket Prop Analysis

• **Ariel Atkins (Chicago Sky):** With Kamilla Cardoso securing opening tips, Atkins' high usage rate (26.7%) and field goal attempt rate (28.8%) in the starting five make her a strong candidate for the first basket. She's tied for the team lead in first shot attempts and averages 3.2 first-quarter shot attempts.
• **Sami Whitcomb (Phoenix Mercury):** Despite a tight spread in favor of the Golden State Valkyries, Whitcomb presents value due to her shot distribution. She averages 5.0 first-quarter field goal attempts, surpassing Alyssa Thomas' 4.5.

### MVP and Finals Winner Analysis

• **Napheesa Collier's Dominance:** Collier's consistent scoring and defensive prowess make her the clear MVP favorite. Her leadership drives the Minnesota Lynx, the league's top team.
• **Alyssa Thomas's Rise:** Thomas's recent performances, including a career-high 29 points and multiple triple-doubles, have significantly boosted her MVP candidacy.
• **New York Liberty's Challenge:** Despite being the reigning champions and leading the league in scoring, the Liberty's recent struggles raise questions about their ability to maintain their top position.

### Weekend Game Previews

• **Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever:** This game will likely hinge on rebounding, with both teams strong defensively. Aliyah Boston's rebound total is expected to be lower than 8.5.
• **Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm:** Despite a recent loss to the Sun, the Storm are heavily favored. The Sun, however, are likely to keep the game within 18 points.
• **Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces:** The Valkyries' strong defense and A'ja Wilson's absence due to injury make the Valkyries a solid pick against the Aces.

**Actionable Takeaways:** Bettors should consider Atkins and Whitcomb for first basket props. Monitoring Collier's and Thomas's performances will be crucial for MVP betting. For weekend games, consider the Dream's spread, the Sun's ability to keep the game close, and the Valkyries' potential to cover the spread against the Aces.

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FAQ

Takeaways

• Ariel Atkins and Sami Whitcomb are strong contenders for first basket props on July 14, 2025.
• Napheesa Collier is the leading MVP candidate, but Alyssa Thomas is gaining ground.
• The New York Liberty are still favored to win the WNBA Finals, but their recent form is concerning.
• Consider Aliyah Boston's rebound under and the Connecticut Sun's spread for Friday's games.
• The Golden State Valkyries are a promising pick against the Las Vegas Aces, given their defensive strength and Wilson's injury.

Discussion

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Sources

Disclaimer

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