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Stocks / Crypto

MSTR Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold Before Q2 Earnings?

MicroStrategy (MSTR), the world's largest bitcoin treasury company, is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 31. This article examines key factors influencing MSTR's stock performance, including its substantial Bitcoin holdi...

MicroStrategy Reports Earnings. Why Crypto Watchers Are Locked In.
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MSTR Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold Before Q2 Earnings? Image via Barron's

Key Insights

  • MSTR holds 607,770 Bitcoins as of July 20, 2025, significantly impacting its financial performance.
  • Q2 revenue is estimated at $112.15 million, a 0.64% year-over-year increase.
  • Software subscription revenues surged 62% year-over-year in Q1 2025, accounting for 33% of total revenues. Billings grew 38% year-over-year.
  • MSTR shares have outperformed the Zacks Computer & Technology sector year-to-date but are considered to have a stretched valuation.

In-Depth Analysis

MicroStrategy's Q2 earnings are highly anticipated, with analysts focusing on the impact of Bitcoin's volatility and the company's expanding AI capabilities. The company's strategic Bitcoin reserve, boosted by acquisitions in June and July 2025, plays a crucial role in its financial outlook.

**Bitcoin Holdings:** As the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, MicroStrategy's balance sheet is significantly influenced by Bitcoin's price fluctuations. The company's Bitcoin holdings reached 607,770 as of July 20, 2025.

**Software Subscription Growth:** The company's shift toward cloud-first, subscription-based services is evident in the 62% year-over-year growth in software subscription revenues in Q1 2025. This trend is expected to continue, driven by the general availability of Mosaic, an AI-powered Universal Intelligence Layer.

**Valuation:** MSTR's Value Score of F suggests a stretched valuation. Its Price/Book ratio is higher than competitors like MARA Digital and Riot Platform.

**Regulatory Environment:** Favorable regulatory developments, such as the passing of the GENIUS Act, could positively influence MicroStrategy's prospects, though Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a concern.

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FAQ

What is MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holding as of July 20, 2025?

MicroStrategy holds 607,770 Bitcoins.

How much did software subscriptions grow in Q1 2025?

Software subscriptions grew by 62% year-over-year.

What is MSTR's Value Score?

MSTR has a Value Score of F, suggesting a stretched valuation.

Takeaways

  • MicroStrategy's stock performance is heavily influenced by Bitcoin's price.
  • The company's software subscription business is a key growth driver.
  • MSTR's valuation appears stretched compared to its peers.
  • Favorable regulatory developments in the crypto space could benefit MSTR.

Discussion

Do you think MicroStrategy's bet on Bitcoin will pay off in the long run? Let us know!

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Disclaimer

This article was compiled by Yanuki using publicly available data and trending information. The content may summarize or reference third-party sources that have not been independently verified. While we aim to provide timely and accurate insights, the information presented may be incomplete or outdated.

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