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Tech / Semiconductors

Intel Stock Soars on Apple Deal Rumors: A Potential Foundry Partnership

Intel's stock experienced a significant boost following speculation about a potential partnership with Apple. The rumored deal would involve Intel manufacturing entry-level M-series chips for Apple, marking a pivotal moment for Intel's foun...

Intel stock holds 10% rise after analyst predicts major Apple deal
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Intel Stock Soars on Apple Deal Rumors: A Potential Foundry Partnership Image via CNBC

Key Insights

  • Intel's stock rose sharply after an analyst predicted a deal to supply Apple with its lowest-end M processors by 2027. Why this matters: This partnership could validate Intel's high-performance foundry offering and open doors to further business from Apple and other chip designers.
  • Apple aims to diversify its supply chain by potentially using Intel's 18A process for entry-level chips. Why this matters: Amid geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, securing a U.S.-based alternative like Intel reduces Apple's reliance on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC).
  • The deal could generate $500 million to $1 billion in annual revenue for Intel by 2028. Why this matters: While modest, this revenue could help cover fixed costs, build a track record for Intel's foundry services, and potentially lead to profitability by 2026.

In-Depth Analysis

Intel's foundry business, launched as Intel Foundry Services (IFS) in 2021, aims to compete with TSMC in chip manufacturing. Despite significant investments and U.S. CHIPS Act funding, IFS has faced delays and substantial losses. A deal with Apple could be a game-changer, providing credibility and revenue.

According to TF International Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, Apple may use Intel's 18A process for entry-level M-series chips starting in 2027. These chips would be for lower-end iPads and Macs, representing a fraction of Apple's overall silicon needs. Apple remains heavily reliant on TSMC for its high-performance cores.

Intel's 18A technology, featuring RibbonFET transistors and PowerVia delivery, offers potential power efficiency gains. Apple, seeking supply chain resilience, sees value in a U.S.-based manufacturing option. This move aligns with efforts to reduce geopolitical risks associated with manufacturing in Taiwan amid U.S.-China tensions. Intel's Arizona Fab 62 could play a key role in this partnership.

While TSMC is expected to remain Apple's primary supplier for premium chips, Intel's U.S. presence offers reduced shipping times. Moreover, Nvidia recently announced it would invest $5 billion in Intel in exchange for a stake in the company.

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FAQ

What is Intel's 18A process?

Intel's 18A is an advanced node technology featuring RibbonFET transistors and PowerVia delivery, designed to offer enhanced power efficiency.

How does this deal impact TSMC?

The impact on TSMC is expected to be minimal, as Apple will continue to rely on TSMC for the majority of its high-performance chip production.

What are the potential benefits for Apple?

Apple gains a second domestic source for chip manufacturing, enhancing supply chain resilience and potentially offering pricing leverage.

Takeaways

  • Intel's potential deal with Apple could validate its foundry business and attract further partnerships.
  • Apple's diversification strategy aims to reduce reliance on a single supplier and mitigate geopolitical risks.
  • The partnership could generate significant revenue for Intel and potentially lead to profitability in its foundry division.

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Disclaimer

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