What are the odds for the match?
Moutet is favored at -333, while Fognini is at +250.
Tennis / ATP
Corentin Moutet and Fabio Fognini are set to clash in the Round of 32 at the ATP Stuttgart Open 2025. This match pits the No. 91 ranked Moutet against the No. 117 ranked Fognini on the grass courts of Stuttgart. Here's a data-driven preview...
Fabio Fognini, despite being the underdog, has shown competence on grass courts with a 3-2 record in the past year. His service game is a strong point, winning 83% of the time. However, his return game is weaker at 25%. In contrast, Corentin Moutet, though only 1-1 on grass recently, mirrors Fognini's service game strength at 83.3%. Moutet's break point conversion rate is 36.4% which ranks 148th.
Fognini's recent performance includes a loss in the Roland Garros qualifying round to Nicolas Moreno de Alboran. Moutet was defeated by Novak Djokovic in the Round of 64 at Roland Garros. Dimers.com's analysis suggests Moutet is the likely winner, leveraging machine learning and statistical analysis from 10,000 simulations. For those looking to bet, Dimers Pro offers detailed picks and best bets.
Moutet is favored at -333, while Fognini is at +250.
Dimers' model gives Moutet a 66% chance of winning.
The match is scheduled for Tuesday, June 10, 2025, at the ATP Stuttgart Open in Germany.
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