What is Xinyu Wang's win probability?
Based on simulations, Xinyu Wang has a 77% win probability.
Tennis / WTA
Xinyu Wang and Harriet Dart are set to face off in the Round of 32 at the WTA Prague Open 2025. Here's a data-driven analysis of their matchup, including predictions and betting odds.
Xinyu Wang (ranked No. 40) enters the match with a strong statistical advantage. In her 16 hard-court tournaments over the past year, she has secured a 15-16 record. Her serve/return winning percentages on hard courts are 69.8% and 30.7%, respectively. Wang has converted 47.9% of her break points (105 of 219) on hard courts. In contrast, Harriet Dart (ranked No. 198) has a 9-12 record on hard courts over the past 12 months. Dart's service game win percentage is 56.3%, and her return game win percentage is 39.7%. She has converted 47.9% of break points (91 out of 190) on hard courts. Wang's higher win probability and solid hard-court performance make her the likely victor.
Based on simulations, Xinyu Wang has a 77% win probability.
Xinyu Wang has -426 odds to win, while Harriet Dart has +300 odds.
Wang has a 15-16 record, while Dart has a 9-12 record on hard courts over the past year.
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