When is Tropical Storm Erin expected to become a hurricane?
By Friday.
Weather / Climate Change
Tropical Storm Erin, forming in the eastern Atlantic, is forecast to become the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. While uncertainty remains about its exact path, current projections suggest it will move near or just nor...
Tropical Storm Erin, currently located 1,200 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph, is being closely monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The storm is moving west at 17 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue before shifting west-northwestward. The NHC forecasts gradual strengthening, with Erin expected to reach hurricane status by Friday. This could affect areas in the northeast Caribbean, including Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, even if the center remains offshore.
Long-range forecasts indicate that Erin will likely turn north before reaching the U.S. East Coast, potentially passing between the Carolinas and Bermuda. However, even without a direct hit, the storm’s large circulation could generate significant wave energy, impacting the mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts with large, eroding waves and strong rip currents. Coastal New England and Atlantic Canada should also monitor forecasts.
While other disturbances are present in the Atlantic, none currently pose an immediate threat. A weak tropical disturbance in the Western Caribbean may move into the southern Gulf of Mexico, but significant development is not expected.
By Friday.
The northeastern Caribbean islands, including Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, and potentially the U.S. East Coast with large waves and rip currents.
Current forecasts suggest Erin will turn north before reaching the East Coast, but impacts are still expected.
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