What is the potential threat in the Atlantic?
A tropical wave off the west African coast has the potential to develop into a tropical storm, possibly named Gabrielle.
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Weather / Tropical Storms
Atlantic and Pacific Storm Threats Emerge as Tropics Awaken
The tropics are showing signs of increased activity as a tropical wave in the Atlantic and a tropical depression in the Pacific are being closely monitored. AccuWeather has also released a revised prediction for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane...
Key Insights
- A tropical wave emerging off the west African coast in the Atlantic has a medium chance of developing into a tropical depression by the middle or end of next week.
- The National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring the system, with computer models suggesting it could become a named storm, potentially named Gabrielle.
- In the Pacific, a low-pressure area has become Tropical Depression 13-E, located off the southern coast of Mexico, and is expected to become a tropical storm named Mario.
- AccuWeather revised its 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast, predicting 13-16 named storms, 6-9 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes.
In-Depth Analysis
The Atlantic basin has been relatively quiet, with only Hurricane Erin reaching Category 5 status. Factors such as Saharan dust, a pool of cool waters off the African coast ("Atlantic Niña"), and below-average vertical instability have contributed to the lull. However, forecasters are also watching for the return of the Central American Gyre, which could increase the risk of "homegrown" storms. In the Pacific, Tropical Depression 13-E is expected to move west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of Mexico, and is likely to intensify into a tropical storm and potentially a hurricane. Southwestern Mexico should monitor the system, as rainfall totals could lead to flash flooding. AccuWeather's revised forecast reflects the slower-than-average start to the hurricane season but emphasizes that the season is far from over.
FAQ
What is happening in the Pacific?
Tropical Depression 13-E has formed off the coast of Mexico and is expected to become a tropical storm named Mario.
What is AccuWeather's revised hurricane forecast?
AccuWeather now predicts 13-16 named storms, 6-9 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes for the 2025 Atlantic season.
Takeaways
- Monitor weather forecasts and advisories from the National Hurricane Center and other reliable sources.
- Be prepared for potential flash flooding in southwestern Mexico due to Tropical Depression 13-E.
- Understand that the Atlantic hurricane season can still produce strong storms, even after a quiet period.
Discussion
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Sources
Disclaimer
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