Dimers' college basketball model gives UNLV a 57% chance of defeating Fresno State, with a predicted final score of 76-74.
UNLV is 1.5-point favorites, with a 53% chance of covering the spread.
The game's over/under is set at 152.5 points, with a 52% chance of staying under.
Key players for UNLV include Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn (17.5 ppg), Kimani Hamilton (11.7 ppg), and Howie Fleming Jr. (5.7 rpg, 3.2 apg).
Fresno State is led by Jake Heidbreder (17.1 ppg) and Zaon Collins (12.7 ppg, 4.9 apg). Wilson Jacques leads in rebounding (8.5 rpg).
UNLV won the first meeting this season 84-72 on December 20.
The UNLV Runnin' Rebels (10-11, 5-5) travel to Save Mart Center to face the Fresno State Bulldogs (10-11, 4-6) on Tuesday, February 3. This marks the second meeting between the teams this season, with UNLV having won the first encounter. UNLV, coached by Josh Pastner, has a revamped roster featuring mostly new players. Fresno State, under Vance Walberg, relies on a younger squad.
Dimers' analysis suggests a narrow UNLV victory, highlighting the importance of key players and defensive strategies. Notably, Fresno State excels in 3-point percentage defense, holding opponents to 27.7% from beyond the arc. UNLV will need to overcome this to secure a win. The absence of UNLV forward Tyrin Jones due to injury could impact their performance.
Q: What is the predicted score of the game?
Dimers predicts UNLV to win 76-74.
Q: What are the betting odds for the game?
UNLV is favored by 1.5 points, with the over/under set at 152.5 points.
Q: Who are the key players to watch?
For UNLV, watch Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn, Kimani Hamilton, and Howie Fleming Jr. For Fresno State, watch Jake Heidbreder, Zaon Collins, and Wilson Jacques.
UNLV is favored to win a close game against Fresno State.
Key injuries and defensive matchups will likely influence the outcome.
Bettors should consider UNLV covering the -1.5 spread and the total staying under 152.5 points.
The game is scheduled for Tuesday, February 3, 2026, at 11:00 PM ET.
Do you think UNLV will cover the spread? Who will be the MVP of the game? Share your predictions below!
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