NFL Wild Card Weekend: Touchdown and Rushing Yards Predictions

Top Touchdown Scorers:: Christian McCaffrey is among the top predicted anytime touchdown scorers for wild-card weekend.

Rushing Leaders:: Identifying the running back on the winning team is key to predicting rushing spike weeks. Historically, most top single-game rushing performances come from winning teams.

Volume Matters:: High rushing yardage typically correlates with a high number of carries. In the 2025 season, running backs with 150+ rushing yards averaged 21.8 carries per game.

Saquon Barkley's Potential:: With Lane Johnson back, Barkley’s yards before contact significantly improve, making him a strong contender for leading in rushing yards.

QB Rushing Parlay:: Quarterbacks like Brock Purdy, Justin Herbert, Drake Maye, Josh Allen and Trevor Lawrence are good bets for rushing yards.

Touchdown Probabilities:: Mike Clay's projections offer implied odds for anytime touchdown scorers, helping identify potential betting advantages. For example, comparing implied odds to money lines can reveal favorable bets.

Rushing Yardage Trends:: A strong correlation exists between winning teams and high rushing yardage. Last season, all four running backs who rushed for 100+ yards were on the winning team.

Impact of Offensive Lines:: The return of key players like Lane Johnson can significantly impact a running back's performance. Barkley averages far more yards before contact with Johnson on the field.

QB Rushing Strategies:: In win-or-go-home scenarios, quarterbacks are more likely to take risks and gain extra yards, making them viable options for rushing yardage bets.

Q: What factors influence rushing yard predictions?

Q: How can I use touchdown probability projections?

Focus on running backs from teams favored to win.

Consider the impact of offensive line performance on rushing success.

Look for quarterbacks who are likely to rush in critical game situations.

Use implied odds to identify advantageous anytime touchdown bets.