Global Economic Calendar Highlights: Late March/Early April 2025

In-Depth Analysis

## Regional Economic Focus:

### United States All eyes will be on the US economic data pipeline. Friday, March 28th, sees the release of Personal Income and Outlays, which includes the crucial PCE price index. This inflation measure is closely watched by the Federal Reserve. Following this, the week ahead brings the influential non-farm payrolls report, offering a snapshot of the US labor market's health, and the ISM Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) surveys for manufacturing and services, indicating business activity levels. Fedspeak (commentary from Federal Reserve officials) will also be monitored for policy clues.

### Australia & New Zealand Down under, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is set to announce its April policy decision early in the month. Current analysis suggests the central bank will likely keep interest rates unchanged. Other significant Australian releases include retail sales figures, dwelling approvals, and the household spending indicator, providing a gauge of consumer activity and the housing market. In New Zealand, key data points feature building consents, ANZ commodity prices, and business confidence surveys.

### Asia China releases its official NBS Manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs, along with the Caixin PMI surveys. These are vital indicators of economic momentum in the world's second-largest economy. Japan's economic calendar is highlighted by the Q1 Tankan Manufacturing Survey, a key measure of business sentiment. Updates on industrial production, the unemployment rate, and household spending are also expected.

### Europe In the Eurozone, the primary focus will be on the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), the main measure of inflation across the bloc. The unemployment rate will also provide insights into the labor market's condition. The UK calendar also features key releases relevant to its economic outlook.

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FAQ

Takeaways

• Monitor inflation data (US PCE, Eurozone HICP) closely, as persistent inflation could influence central banks to maintain or adjust tight monetary policy.
• US jobs data (non-farm payrolls) remains critical for assessing economic strength and potential Fed policy shifts.
• Keep an eye on China's PMI data as a barometer for global manufacturing and demand.
• Central bank decisions (like the RBA's) and accompanying statements provide valuable forward guidance.

Discussion

How do you expect these upcoming economic releases to impact global markets? Will inflation readings lead to any central bank surprises?

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Disclaimer

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